Current EU Outlook
Since 2015 the AGMEMOD network has participated in the process through which the European Commission’s Directorate General for Agriculture has produced its annual medium-term agricultural outlook for the EU. The EC medium-term outlook is framed at the EU level, while AGMEMOD produces linked projections of agricultural activity and agricultural commodity supply and use developments for individual EU Member States that contribute to the report.
AGMEMOD Baseline projections cover the main agricultural products over a medium term projection horizon that currently extends to 2030. The agricultural products modelled by AGMEMOD include all major cereals and oilseeds (rapeseed and sunflower seed), livestock (cattle, pigs, goats and sheep), sugar, meat (beef, pork, poultry and sheep meat), milk and dairy products (drinking milk, butter, cheese, skimmed milk powder, whole milk and semi-skimmed milk powder).
The AGMEMOD model produces medium term projections of agricultural activity levels (areas, livestock numbers), productivity indicators (yields per hectare and per animal) as well as commodity supply and use balance elements (production, imports, exports, domestic use) as well as farm gate and commodity market prices.