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European Outlook

The AGMEMOD medium-term outlook contains projections for the main agricultural sectors and their assumptions regarding policy and macroeconomic developments for individual EU Member States.

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What is new?

Information on upcoming meetings, trainings, and workshops, as well as new released papers, the last model version released as well the latest results from different projects are here.

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Recently aggregated countries

New countries are constantly aggregated into the AGMEMOD framework; find here a summary of the agricultural sector as well as on the country model of the recently added countries.

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Welcome to the AGMEMOD Project

agmemod 01 bilder1icon klein AGMEMOD is a network of agricultural economists working with a partial equilibrium model. The model is called AGMEMOD as well. The name stands for Agricultural Member State Modelling. In the earlier stages of AGMEMOD, the network AGMEMOD has been based on EU Member States and EU Candidate Countries (Macedonia, Serbia and Turkey) and other European countries (Russia, Ukraine, and Kazakhstan). An Outlook at Member State level for the European Union is produced annually.

Since 2013, diverse African countries have implemented the AGMEMOD model and work with it on a regular basis to analyse the effects of national policies. The objectives in African countries to work with AGMEMOD are mainly: to find proper policies to abate poverty or to advice stakeholders from the African Union or from their national countries. AGMEMOD country models in the African context are available for: Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya and Rwanda. All groups that become members of the AGMEMOD Partnership sign an agreement concerning the common ownership of the models developed and the analytic results.

In the coming years a similar network of researchers and policy makers conducting analyses with AGMEMOD will be established in Africa.

Current EU Outlook

icon klein Since 2015 the AGMEMOD Consortium supports the reporting process of the medium-term outlook from the EU. The medium-term outlook contains projections and their assumptions regarding policy and macroeconomic developments for individual EU Member States.

The projections cover the markets of main agricultural products from 2019 to 2030, in particular for cereals and oilseeds (rapeseed and sunflower seed), livestock (cattle, pigs, goats and sheep), meat (beef, pork, and poultry), milk and dairy products (drinking milk, butter, cheese, skimmed milk powder, whole milk and semi-skimmed milk powder). The projections assume a continuation of current agricultural and trade policies. The outcomes comprise items like areas, livestock numbers, yields, production, trade and use, as well as prices.

You can find the results here.